Weekly Market Notes

Current week snapshot — MA alignment, squeeze setups, and watchlist status.

Run python weekly_snapshot.py each week to refresh. History is in git.


Week of Jul 06 2026

4/4 Aligned — 77 names

Universe (59): AAPL, ABBV, ABNB, ACGL, AFL, ALAB, ALGN, AMAT, ANET, AON, ASML, BMRN, BRK-B, CASH, CB, CHD, CHRW, CINF, CL, CRDO, CRWD, CW, DDOG, DHI, EW, EXPD, FAST, FTNT, HEI, HOOD, HWM, IBKR, INCY, ITW, JBHT, JNJ, JPM, KMB, KRYS, LIN, LLY, MCO, MNST, MRK, MSCI, NBIX, PANW, PGR, SCHW, SEZL, TOL, TRV, TSM, UNH, UTHR, V, VRTX, WSM, WST

Watchlist (18): ACAD, AMD, AMG, APD, AXON, BIIB, BMY, GEV, LNG, LNT, MDB, NET, S, SNOW, TDG, TGTX, VCYT, WEC

3/4 Near-Aligned — 37 names

ADI, ADP, AJG, AMZN, APP, ARM, CDNS, CF, CTRA, FDS, GFS, GOOGL, INTC, IOT, KLAC, LRCX, LSCC, MA, MCHP, MRVL, MTD, MU, NEE, NVO, ODFL, ONTO, PAYX, PG, PWR, QCOM, RLI, SAIA, SITM, SPGI, TMO, TXN, VRSN

Tightest Coils — FullCoil ≤ 5%

TickerMAFullCoilST GapVolSlope
PG[U]3/40.6%0.2%0.9x
BMRN[U]4/40.9%0.0%0.6x
BRK-B[U]4/41.0%0.8%0.8x
ITW[U]4/41.6%1.4%0.9x
ACGL[U]4/41.7%0.3%0.6x
DECK[U]2/42.2%0.7%0.9x
PGR[U]4/42.7%1.3%0.8x
NDAQ[U]1/42.8%0.3%1.1x
SCHW[U]4/42.8%0.5%0.7x
TOL[U]4/42.9%1.3%0.8x
V[U]4/43.2%3.2%1.0x
FAST[U]4/43.2%0.3%0.9x
JPM[U]4/43.3%2.9%0.9x
DHI[U]4/43.3%1.9%0.8x
WEC[W]4/43.3%0.4%0.7x
COST[W]0/43.6%1.0%1.0x
ABBV[U]4/44.0%3.4%0.9x
AON[U]4/44.0%1.0%0.8x
TDG[W]4/44.1%2.2%0.9x
VRTX[U]4/44.3%1.5%1.0x

Notes

Weekly observations — what to watch, what is coiling, what to avoid.

Disclaimer: For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.

Watchlist Status

TickerPriceMAGradeBlockersThesis
ABBV$257.644/4A+ROE/ROA ROE None% / ROA 10.0%AbbVie — Allergan amortization masking strong cash earnings; FCF/Debt …
ACAD$25.944/4BOp Margin -1.7%Acadia Pharmaceuticals — CNS/rare disease; Nuplazid (only FDA-approved…
AMD$506.854/4BROE/ROA ROE 8.1% / ROA 3.6%AMD — AI accelerator (MI300X/MI350) + x86 CPU challenger; OM ~21%, NM …
AMG$357.324/4ADebt/EV 0.236Affiliated Managers Group — multi-boutique AM (AQR, Tweedy Browne etc.…
APD$308.564/4BDebt/EV 0.208 / FCF Yield -5.1%Air Products — industrial gases, green/blue hydrogen megaproject bet (…
AXON$645.224/4BOp Margin 3.7% / ROE/ROA ROE 6.8% / ROA 0.1%
BIIB$210.494/4AROE/ROA ROE 7.7% / ROA 6.0%Biogen — neuroscience pure-play; Leqembi (lecanemab, w/ Eisai) first a…
BMY$58.184/4A+Debt/EV 0.306Bristol-Myers Squibb — de-lever + profit growth play; Celgene debt pay…
GEV$1032.944/4A+Op Margin 5.5%GE Vernova — picks-and-shovels for entire energy transition; supplies …
LNG$254.684/4BDebt/EV 0.335 / Op Margin -53.7%Cheniere Energy — largest US LNG export terminal operator (Sabine Pass…
LNT$78.354/4BDebt/EV 0.376 / FCF Yield -5.9%Alliant Energy — regulated Midwest utility (Iowa/Wisconsin); OM 21%, N…
MDB$362.784/4BOp Margin -3.6% / Net Margin -1.1% / ROE/ROA ROE -1.0% / ROA -1.8%
NET$260.734/4BOp Margin -9.7% / Net Margin -3.7% / ROE/ROA ROE -5.9% / ROA -2.7% / P/E 165.2x
S$17.934/4BOp Margin -28.8% / Net Margin -30.4% / ROE/ROA ROE -21.4% / ROA -7.9%SentinelOne — AI-native cybersecurity platform, direct CrowdStrike com…
SNOW$268.584/4BOp Margin -22.2% / Net Margin -23.8% / ROE/ROA ROE -54.9% / ROA -9.7%
TDG$1327.874/4ADebt/EV 0.309 / ROE/ROA ROE None% / ROA 11.8%TransDigm — aerospace parts monopolist, 47% OM, 22% NM; D/EV 0.325 str…
TGTX$57.434/4AFCF Yield -0.3%TG Therapeutics — Briumvi (ublituximab, anti-CD20 MS); faster infusion…
VCYT$56.244/4AROE/ROA ROE 6.9% / ROA 3.8%Veracyte — genomic diagnostics; moat = guideline inclusion (NCCN/medic…
WEC$119.054/4BDebt/EV 0.368 / FCF Yield -5.3%WEC Energy Group — regulated Midwest utility (Wisconsin/Illinois/Michi…
GFS$64.573/4BROE/ROA ROE 6.8% / ROA 3.1%GlobalFoundries — specialty foundry (RF, automotive, IoT); 5/6 filters…
INTC$109.363/4BOp Margin 6.9% / Net Margin -5.9% / ROE/ROA ROE -2.9% / ROA 0.6% / FCF Yield -1.5%Intel — x86 architect in foundry transition (Intel 18A); OM/NM/ROE all…
IOT$37.073/4AOp Margin 1.5% / Net Margin 3.3% / ROE/ROA ROE 4.4% / ROA -0.3%Samsara — fleet/IoT SaaS, GM 76%, zero debt, 30% RevG, FCF just turned…
LSCC$128.983/4ANet Margin 3.5% / ROE/ROA ROE 2.7% / ROA 2.5%Lattice Semiconductor — low-power FPGAs, 60%+ gross margin, zero debt;…
NEE$88.913/4ADebt/EV 0.353 / FCF Yield -10.0%NextEra — world's largest renewable platform (wind/solar/battery) + FP…
ONTO$274.643/4BROE/ROA ROE 5.3% / ROA 5.4%Onto Innovation — advanced packaging inspection/metrology; HBM + chipl…
PWR$647.143/4BOp Margin 4.2% / Net Margin 3.7%Quanta Services — dominant grid/electrical infrastructure contractor; …
SITM$573.043/4BOp Margin -4.2% / Net Margin -6.4% / ROE/ROA ROE -2.6% / ROA -2.3%SiTime — MEMS precision timing chips; near-monopoly, 65% gross margin,…
BILL$41.062/4BDebt/EV 0.507 / Op Margin 1.1% / Net Margin 0.0% / ROE/ROA ROE 0.0% / ROA -0.3%
CLS$337.582/4AOp Margin 6.6%Celestica — AI infra contract manufacturer (servers, networking), ROE …
COHR$311.472/4BROE/ROA ROE 4.7% / ROA 3.1% / FCF Yield -0.3%Coherent Corp — optical components (800G/1.6T datacenter interconnect …
COPX$74.752/4ETFGlobal X Copper Miners ETF — AUM $8.0B; copper = AI datacenter + grid …
MELI$1817.682/4BOp Margin 6.9% / FCF Yield -4.5%
MKC$53.212/4ADebt/EV 0.258
NRG$138.872/4BDebt/EV 0.436 / Op Margin 3.6% / Net Margin 0.7% / ROE/ROA ROE 6.2% / ROA 2.2%NRG Energy — de-lever play; LS Power acq doubled fleet+debt, targeting…
PYPL$45.482/4A+Debt/EV 0.277PayPal — OM 18%, NM 15%, ROE 25%, FCF 11%, P/E 7.8x; D/EV 0.30 only bl…
SOFI$17.882/4AROE/ROA ROE 6.6% / ROA 1.3% / FCF Yield missing (no data relief)SoFi — neobank scaling; ROE 6.6% and trending right
TOST$29.642/4AOp Margin 6.7%Toast — restaurant POS/payments platform; ROE 22.5%, FCF 4%, rev growt…
ALB$127.541/4ANet Margin -4.2% / ROE/ROA ROE -1.8% / ROA 1.6%Albemarle — largest lithium producer (Chile/Australia mines); OM 24.8%…
DPZ$317.821/4BDebt/EV 0.341
ENPH$41.571/4BOp Margin -9.1%Enphase Energy — microinverter monopoly + battery storage (IQ8/Encharg…
GLD$380.191/4ETFSPDR Gold ETF — AUM $150B, gold price proxy; 25% off 6mo highs ($496),…
HUBS$202.401/4AOp Margin 3.3% / Net Margin 3.0% / ROE/ROA ROE 5.0% / ROA 1.1%
SLV$54.851/4ETFiShares Silver ETF — AUM $37B, silver price proxy; 49% off 6mo highs (…
TEAM$88.771/4AOp Margin 9.4% / Net Margin -3.5% / ROE/ROA ROE -19.3% / ROA 0.5%
UPWK$9.031/4BDebt/EV 0.424Upwork — freelance marketplace; D/EV 0.44 (converts) only blocker, mar…
VST$155.151/4ADebt/EV 0.267Vistra — deregulated nuclear+gas (Energy Harbor acq), Texas/ERCOT expo…
AMSC$35.120/4A+Op Margin 5.1%American Superconductor — power electronics, grid/defense; OpM 5.1%, o…
AVAV$163.730/4BOp Margin 2.8% / Net Margin -13.4% / ROE/ROA ROE -10.0% / ROA -1.3% / FCF Yield -3.0%AeroVironment — defense drones (Switchblade loitering munition, Puma I…
COIN$164.350/4BOp Margin -7.1% / ROE/ROA ROE 6.7% / ROA 1.9%Coinbase — digital asset exchange, crypto theme proxy; 85.5% gross mar…
COST$953.780/4AOp Margin 3.7% / Net Margin 3.0%Costco — membership moat, not a margin story; OM ~3% by design (mercha…
FIGBOp Margin -41.2% / Net Margin -123.8% / ROE/ROA ROE -101.7% / ROA -43.6%Figma — design collaboration SaaS; 79.8% gross margin, FCF 8.6%, 46.1%…
FISV$53.560/4BDebt/EV missing / Op Margin missing / Net Margin missing / ROE/ROA ROE None% / ROA None% / FCF Yield missing (no data relief)Fiserv — payment processing + Clover POS + banking tech, extreme switc…
KTOS$50.190/4BOp Margin 1.8% / Net Margin 2.1% / ROE/ROA ROE 1.2% / ROA 0.6% / FCF Yield -1.1%Kratos — drone/defense tech; margins thin now, scaling with DoD contra…
NLR$110.450/4ETFVanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF — AUM $4.87B; AI datacenter baseload + ur…
ORLY$85.720/4BROE/ROA ROE None% / ROA 13.8%O'Reilly Auto Parts — Akre compounder; 18% OM, 14% NM, ROA 13.8% (ROE …
SSNC$66.510/4BDebt/EV 0.332SS&C Technologies — fund admin infra, $1.28B FCF, extreme switching co…
SYM$40.970/4BOp Margin 1.1% / Net Margin -0.3% / ROE/ROA ROE -5.7% / ROA -0.6%Symbotic — warehouse AI robotics, Walmart-backed; revenue scaling, mar…

Liquid Names — Status Panel

TickerPriceWkly Gatevs MA20dvs MA10wMA10wBandW.Slope
NVDA$192.70-4.8%-7.1%$207.38IN-0.05
META$605.73+5.3%+1.9%$594.18+EXT-28.12
MSFT$392.87+2.1%-3.4%$406.79+EXT-7.28
AAPL$313.55+6.3%+5.1%$298.29+EXT+8.94
AMZN$243.68+1.6%-4.3%$254.64IN-3.32
GOOGL$368.36+2.8%-1.5%$373.87+EXT+6.26
AVGO$363.51-4.8%-10.0%$403.68-EXT-6.28
MU$918.00-11.9%+4.1%$882.18-EXT+186.92
NFLX$76.98-0.0%-7.5%$83.25+EXT-6.39

Data via yfinance · Updated weekly · Not financial advice